Salisbury 2-1 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 35% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.31/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.20
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
254 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-0 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
2-1
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury nicked a narrow win over Hampton & Richmond 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Salisbury found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salisbury had 36% of the ball to Hampton & Richmond's 64%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Hampton & Richmond?

Salisbury 2-1 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 39%, draw 26%, Hampton & Richmond 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salisbury) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salisbury) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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