Queens Park 0-4 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 24% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.2
1/2
8%
22.1
1/X
5%
17.65
X/1
10%
11.15
X/2
22%
3.98
X/X
11%
5.64
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.94
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 64%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.20/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.18
+21% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -40%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
4.0 Crosses 4.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Falkirk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
11.01.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
22.11.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 0-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
02.08.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
14.10.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCK
30.04.2022 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
05.02.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-1 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk ran out comfortable winners over Queens Park 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Queens Park and 1.00 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Falkirk?

Queens Park 0-4 Falkirk in the Scotland - Championship on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 22%, draw 22%, Falkirk 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5
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