Partick Thistle 2-0 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.88
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.81
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
9%
6.5
X/2
12%
4.88
X/X
18%
4.49
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.11
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 46%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +1%
0.95/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.02
-17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
207 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 75%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 10.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Partick Thistle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ayr United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
8 Corners 4
25.01.2025 Ayr United Ayr United 2-1 HT 2-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
07.12.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
14.09.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 1-1 HT 1-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
27.04.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
27.02.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 4-3 HT 3-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
31.10.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 2-2 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
POST-MATCH Partick Thistle vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle got the better of Ayr United 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Partick Thistle made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Partick Thistle and 1.50 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?

Partick Thistle 2-0 Ayr United in the Scotland - Championship on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Partick Thistle vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Partick Thistle 31%, draw 31%, Ayr United 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ayr United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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