Hamilton 0-2 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.03
6+ Goals
12%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
10%
4.76
X/2
13%
6.32
X/X
16%
4.29
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.88
2/X
5%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.75/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
+14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Greenock Morton
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 16
18.02.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
26.10.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 3-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
11.10.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 0-1 HT 0-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCK
10.08.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
11.04.2023 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
14.01.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenock Morton saw off Hamilton 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day Greenock Morton made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hamilton and 0.83 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Greenock Morton?

Hamilton 0-2 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 40%, draw 27%, Greenock Morton 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hamilton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Under 2.5
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