Charlton Athletic 2-1 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.26
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.29
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.85
X/1
14%
3.84
X/2
7%
9.33
X/X
12%
3.9
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
12%
8.81
2/X
9%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +27%
1.53/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.30
-3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 68%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.1 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
286 Passes 374
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
09.04.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-2 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
31.10.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-3 HT 0-3 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
12.02.2022 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
21.08.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
02.03.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
2-1
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.23 xG 0.71
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
264 Passes 210
69% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic edged past Wigan Athletic 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charlton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 55% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 45%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.23 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.33 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Wigan Athletic?

Charlton Athletic 2-1 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 46%, draw 28%, Wigan Athletic 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlton Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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