Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

Bolton Wanderers
0-1 HT 0-0
Stockport County
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Bolton Wanderers vs Stockport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.51
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
17%
5.21
X/2
10%
6.03
X/X
12%
4.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
29.5
2/2
20%
4.39
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bolton Wanderers v Stockport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.33/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.07
+21% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
299 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 69%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.0 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Bolton Wanderers vs Stockport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Stockport County
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.58 xG 1.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
421 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Stockport County Stockport County 5-0 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
14.11.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 0-2 HT 0-2 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNTK
17.11.2021 Stockport County Stockport County 5-3 HT 2-3 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers FAK
07.11.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-2 HT 2-2 Stockport County Stockport County FAK
25.07.2017 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers HAZ
03.04.2001 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İNCL

Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Stockport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
0-1
AWAY Stockport County
1.59 xG 1.16
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
437 Passes 244
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County edged past Bolton Wanderers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Stockport County found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 61% of the ball to Stockport County's 39%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.59 to 1.16 — on chances, Bolton Wanderers could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 2.17 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Stockport County?

Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 38%, draw 25%, Stockport County 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
15 Mar 2025
15:30 Cambridge United vs Peterborough United Analysis →
18:00 Reading vs Stevenage Analysis →
18:00 Charlton Athletic vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Lincoln City vs Bristol Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Mansfield Town vs Barnsley Analysis →
18:00 Huddersfield Town vs Crawley Town Analysis →