Huddersfield Town 5-1 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
9.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 26% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.85
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
14%
4.03
X/2
8%
12.0
X/X
12%
6.1
2/1
7%
21.25
2/2
10%
9.63
2/X
7%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Huddersfield Town win — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huddersfield Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.44/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.75
-37% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
301 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 66%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
23.5 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huddersfield Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Crawley Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
312 Passes 228
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 13
35 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huddersfield Town
5-1
AWAY Crawley Town
2.26 xG 0.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
440 Passes 331
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Huddersfield Town vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huddersfield Town swept aside Crawley Town 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Huddersfield Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Huddersfield Town had 57% of the ball to Crawley Town's 43%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 2.26 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Huddersfield Town vs Crawley Town?

Huddersfield Town 5-1 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huddersfield Town vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huddersfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Huddersfield Town 50%, draw 25%, Crawley Town 25%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huddersfield Town) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Huddersfield Town)
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