Cambridge United 0-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.96
1/2
10%
23.85
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
9%
7.04
X/2
13%
4.91
X/X
9%
4.97
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
17%
2.85
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.07/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.98
+7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
17.5 Crosses 19.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Peterborough United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.60 xG 1.64
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
255 Passes 442
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 6-1 HT 4-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
24.02.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
11.11.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 5-0 HT 3-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
12.09.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İNTK
15.04.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
29.10.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
0-1
AWAY Peterborough United
1.41 xG 0.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
200 Passes 343
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United edged past Cambridge United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Peterborough United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cambridge United had 43% of the ball to Peterborough United's 57%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.41 to 0.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cambridge United.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cambridge United and 2.50 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Peterborough United?

Cambridge United 0-1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 36%, draw 24%, Peterborough United 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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