Winchester City 0-2 Tiverton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 31%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.19/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.77
-31% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tiverton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
21.09.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
18.04.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
30.01.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 2-1 HT 0-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
30.09.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 0-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-4 HT 2-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
05.11.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 1-2 HT 0-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiverton Town saw off Winchester City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Winchester City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tiverton Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Winchester City and 1.50 for Tiverton Town.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Tiverton Town?

Winchester City 0-2 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Tiverton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 45%, draw 21%, Tiverton Town 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Winchester City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Winchester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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