Tiverton Town 2-1 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.39/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.78
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiverton Town
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Winchester City
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
18.04.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
30.01.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 2-1 HT 0-1 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
30.09.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 0-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
22.04.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-4 HT 2-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
05.11.2022 Winchester City Winchester City 1-2 HT 0-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Tiverton Town vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiverton Town nicked a narrow win over Winchester City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Winchester City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Tiverton Town and 1.40 for Winchester City.

What was the final score of Tiverton Town vs Winchester City?

Tiverton Town 2-1 Winchester City in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiverton Town vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tiverton Town 31%, draw 27%, Winchester City 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Winchester City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Winchester City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
21 Sep 2024
17:00 Guiseley vs Worksop Town Analysis →
17:00 Bedford Town vs Redditch United Analysis →
17:00 Kettering Town vs Lowestoft Town Analysis →
17:00 Bromsgrove Sporting vs St Ives Town Analysis →
17:00 Stratford Town vs Harborough Town Analysis →
17:00 Bishops Stortford vs Stourbridge Analysis →