Sligo Rovers 0-1 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.65
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.62
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
14%
7.97
X/2
17%
4.27
X/X
15%
4.4
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.55
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+6.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
0.88/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.96
-16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
235 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 69%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.5 Crosses 20.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Derry City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 1.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
202 Passes 321
62% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
04.07.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
24.05.2024 Derry City Derry City 2-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
24.02.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
22.09.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
07.07.2023 Derry City Derry City 2-1 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
0-1
AWAY Derry City
0.61 xG 0.21
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
339 Passes 158
76% Pass Accuracy 55%
22 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City nicked a narrow win over Sligo Rovers 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 61% of the ball to Derry City's 39%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.61 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sligo Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.00 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?

Sligo Rovers 0-1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 31%, draw 26%, Derry City 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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