Mallorca vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mallorca v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals
Mallorca vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Mallorca
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Espanyol
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Mallorca
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Espanyol
İSPK
1-0
HT 1-0
Espanyol
İS1
Mallorca 2-1 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics
Mallorca edged past Espanyol 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mallorca as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mallorca had 62% of the ball to Espanyol's 38%, shots finished 20-2, expected goals 2.69 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mallorca's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mallorca and 1.17 for Espanyol.
What was the final score of Mallorca vs Espanyol?
Mallorca 2-1 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Espanyol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mallorca win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 46%, draw 31%, Espanyol 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mallorca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.