Valladolid vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valladolid v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals
Valladolid vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Valladolid
İS1
4-1
HT 1-1
Celta Vigo
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Valladolid
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Celta Vigo
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
Valladolid 0-1 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics
Celta Vigo edged past Valladolid 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Valladolid had 39% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 61%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.66 to 1.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Valladolid and 1.50 for Celta Vigo.
What was the final score of Valladolid vs Celta Vigo?
Valladolid 0-1 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Celta Vigo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 26%, draw 24%, Celta Vigo 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.