Girona vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Valencia — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Valencia
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Valencia
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Girona
İS1
2-3
HT 1-1
Valencia
İS1
Girona 1-1 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics
Girona and Valencia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Girona at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Girona had 56% of the ball to Valencia's 44%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.93 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Girona and 1.33 for Valencia.
What was the final score of Girona vs Valencia?
Girona 1-1 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Valencia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Girona 48%, draw 29%, Valencia 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Girona) went the other way.