Valencia 2-0 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 21 Sep 2024

Valencia
2-0 HT 0-0
Girona
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Valencia vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.6
6+ Goals
11%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.54
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
7%
5.0
X/2
14%
5.91
X/X
18%
3.86
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
15%
4.48
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valencia v Girona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.31/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.49
-12% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.3 Crosses 21.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Valencia vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Girona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.71 xG 1.55
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 455
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Valencia Valencia 1-3 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS1
02.12.2023 Girona Girona 2-1 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
05.02.2023 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
14.08.2022 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
10.03.2019 Girona Girona 2-3 HT 1-1 Valencia Valencia İS1
03.11.2018 Valencia Valencia 0-1 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1

Valencia 2-0 Girona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
2-0
AWAY Girona
0.43 xG 0.41
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
202 Passes 538
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Girona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia got the better of Girona 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Valencia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valencia had 32% of the ball to Girona's 68%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.43 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valencia and 1.50 for Girona.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Girona?

Valencia 2-0 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Girona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Valencia 34%, draw 30%, Girona 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Girona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✓ Under 2.5
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