Real Betis II 2-1 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 29% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.19/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.58
-15% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Marbella
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Marbella Marbella 2-2 HT 0-0 Real Betis II Real Betis II İS3
07.04.2024 Real Betis II Real Betis II 5-1 HT 4-0 Marbella Marbella İS4
26.11.2023 Marbella Marbella 0-2 HT 0-2 Real Betis II Real Betis II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis II
2-1
AWAY Marbella
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Betis II vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis II edged past Marbella 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Betis II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Real Betis II had 58% of the ball to Marbella's 42%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Betis II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Real Betis II and 1.00 for Marbella.

What was the final score of Real Betis II vs Marbella?

Real Betis II 2-1 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis II vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Betis II 41%, draw 26%, Marbella 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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