Cesena 0-0 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 15 Mar 2025

Cesena
0-0 HT 0-0
Spezia
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Cesena vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.49
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.64
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
13.4
X/1
11%
7.2
X/2
13%
4.89
X/X
13%
3.74
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
3.06
2/X
9%
12.55
Value flag · 1/X at 13.4 — our 9% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cesena v Spezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
0.93/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.15
-25% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
15.0 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.9

Cesena vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Spezia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 1.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
372 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 16
6 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Spezia Spezia 2-1 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
03.03.2018 Spezia Spezia 1-2 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
07.10.2017 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
17.04.2017 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
19.11.2016 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
24.05.2016 Cesena Cesena 1-2 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB

Cesena 0-0 Spezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
0-0
AWAY Spezia
1.23 xG 2.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
227 Passes 284
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 41
19 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena and Spezia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Spezia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cesena had 46% of the ball to Spezia's 54%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.23 to 2.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cesena and 1.00 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Spezia?

Cesena 0-0 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cesena 26%, draw 31%, Spezia 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spezia), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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