Frosinone vs Brescia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Frosinone v Brescia — Team-Based Signals
Frosinone vs Brescia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Frosinone
İTB
3-0
HT 1-0
Brescia
İTB
2-2
HT 1-1
Frosinone
İTB
2-2
HT 2-1
Brescia
İTB
0-1
HT 0-0
Brescia
İTB
Frosinone 2-1 Brescia — Actual Match Statistics
Frosinone nicked a narrow win over Brescia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Frosinone as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Frosinone had 47% of the ball to Brescia's 53%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.59 to 1.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brescia.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Frosinone and 1.67 for Brescia.
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Brescia?
Frosinone 2-1 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Brescia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 42%, draw 26%, Brescia 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.