Cittadella vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cittadella v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals
Cittadella vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cittadella
İTB
1-0
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Sassuolo
İTB
2-0
HT 0-0
Cittadella
İTB
Cittadella 1-2 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics
Sassuolo squeezed past Cittadella 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Cittadella had 42% of the ball to Sassuolo's 58%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.81 to 2.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sassuolo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cittadella and 1.83 for Sassuolo.
What was the final score of Cittadella vs Sassuolo?
Cittadella 1-2 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Sassuolo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 18%, draw 29%, Sassuolo 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.