New York Red Bulls 2-2 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
11%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.62
X/2
9%
7.49
X/X
12%
4.19
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
16%
5.9
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +33%
1.33/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.52
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.7 Crosses 15.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Orlando City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 0.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 391
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
02.06.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
31.03.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
04.06.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-3 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
26.02.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
14.08.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
2-2
AWAY Orlando City
2.97 xG 1.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
475 Passes 359
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

New York Red Bulls and Orlando City shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the USA - Major League on 15 Mar 2025. Half-time: 1-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 56% of the ball to Orlando City's 44%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.97 to 1.69.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.00 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City?

New York Red Bulls 2-2 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 41%, draw 29%, Orlando City 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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