Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toronto FC v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toronto FC 1-2 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire shaded a tight game against Toronto FC 2-1 on the road.
We leaned Toronto FC at 44% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came home.
Under the surface, Toronto FC had 48% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 52%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.60 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Toronto FC and 1.67 for Chicago Fire.
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Result & Final Score
Toronto FC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 44%, draw 26%, Chicago Fire 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toronto FC) went the other way.