Elversberg 0-1 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.9
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
11%
4.28
X/2
9%
9.98
X/X
13%
5.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.35
2/2
11%
7.63
2/X
7%
15.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 23%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.75/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.51
-21% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.7 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
534 Passes 182
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
19.10.2024 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-1 HT 1-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
15.02.2014 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 2-1 HT 1-1 Elversberg Elversberg AL3
31.08.2013 Elversberg Elversberg 2-2 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
0-1
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.80 xG 1.22
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
400 Passes 171
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
41 Box Touches 5
20 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster edged past Elversberg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Elversberg at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Elversberg had 67% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 33%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.80 to 1.22 — on chances, Elversberg could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Preussen Münster led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Elversberg and 1.67 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Preussen Münster?

Elversberg 0-1 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 48%, draw 26%, Preussen Münster 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elversberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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