Paderborn 5-3 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
16%
4.48
X/2
12%
9.98
X/X
9%
5.63
2/1
7%
21.1
2/2
10%
7.33
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.86/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.74
+8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.0 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 1.31
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
477 Passes 213
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-0 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
10.02.2024 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-2 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
25.08.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
17.02.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
12.08.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
12.02.2016 Paderborn Paderborn 0-4 HT 0-2 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn
5-3
AWAY Kaiserslautern
2.20 xG 1.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 382
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paderborn vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn saw off Kaiserslautern 5-3. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paderborn as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paderborn had 45% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 55%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.20 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paderborn and 1.67 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Paderborn vs Kaiserslautern?

Paderborn 5-3 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 52%, draw 21%, Kaiserslautern 27%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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