Köln 2-1 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 15 Mar 2025

Köln
2-1 HT 1-1
Darmstadt 98
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Köln vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.51
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
14%
4.48
X/2
11%
8.12
X/X
17%
4.75
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
13%
6.28
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-10.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln v Darmstadt 98 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.57/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.69
-30% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
28.8 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Köln vs Darmstadt 98 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.01 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 Passes 262
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2024 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 5-1 HT 2-1 Köln Köln AL2
20.04.2024 Köln Köln 0-2 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
01.12.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-1 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1
26.04.2019 Köln Köln 1-2 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
24.11.2018 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-3 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2
28.01.2017 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-6 HT 0-3 Köln Köln AL1

Köln 2-1 Darmstadt 98 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
2-1
AWAY Darmstadt 98
3.46 xG 1.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
414 Passes 231
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
42 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Köln vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln edged past Darmstadt 98 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Köln found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Köln had 60% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 40%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 3.46 to 1.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Köln's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Köln and 1.67 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Köln vs Darmstadt 98?

Köln 2-1 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Köln 39%, draw 30%, Darmstadt 98 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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