Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 15 Mar 2025

Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-0 HT 1-0
Jahn Regensburg
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.74
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
6+ Goals
14%
10.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.14
X/2
10%
9.98
X/X
10%
5.73
2/1
8%
21.35
2/2
9%
7.83
2/X
7%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Jahn Regensburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.75/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.59
+11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.6 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.86 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
332 Passes 273
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-3 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
04.03.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
19.10.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-3 HT 0-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK
26.08.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
27.02.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
18.09.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Jahn Regensburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-0
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
2.00 xG 0.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
407 Passes 380
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf edged past Jahn Regensburg 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 51% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 49%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.00 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortuna Düsseldorf's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 0.17 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Jahn Regensburg?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 53%, draw 23%, Jahn Regensburg 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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