Nürnberg II 1-0 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
0.91/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.43
+16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses 23.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aubstadt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2024 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-1 HT 1-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
03.03.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
05.11.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
16.07.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-3 HT 1-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
05.04.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-1 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II nicked a narrow win over Aubstadt 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nürnberg II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nürnberg II and 0.83 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt?

Nürnberg II 1-0 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 45%, draw 22%, Aubstadt 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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