Boussu Dour Borinage 1-3 SV Zulte Waregem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
9.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-7.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 57%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.97/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.28
+4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +51%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.1
22.8 Crosses 20.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
2W-1D-0L
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
238 Passes 360
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 2-2 HT 0-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
25.02.2024 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
13.08.2023 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-3 HT 0-2 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
1-3
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
0.70 xG 1.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
252 Passes 352
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs SV Zulte Waregem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem beat Boussu Dour Borinage 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Zulte Waregem as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 44% of the ball to SV Zulte Waregem's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.70 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Boussu Dour Borinage had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Boussu Dour Borinage and 1.33 for SV Zulte Waregem.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Boussu Dour Borinage 1-3 SV Zulte Waregem in the Belgium - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 28%, draw 26%, SV Zulte Waregem 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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