Lommel United 0-1 Patro Eisden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.05 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.16/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.97
-10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.7
16.4 Crosses 25.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Patro Eisden
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.10 xG 1.64
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
497 Passes 179
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 4-0 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
31.03.2024 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 3-0 HT 0-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
24.11.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 1-2 HT 0-1 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
0-1
AWAY Patro Eisden
0.43 xG 1.53
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
398 Passes 146
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Patro Eisden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden edged past Lommel United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Patro Eisden as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lommel United had 67% of the ball to Patro Eisden's 33%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.43 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Patro Eisden led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lommel United and 3.00 for Patro Eisden.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Patro Eisden?

Lommel United 0-1 Patro Eisden in the Belgium - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Patro Eisden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 26%, draw 27%, Patro Eisden 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
15 Mar 2025
18:00 RSC Anderlecht II vs RFC Seraing Analysis →
18:00 Boussu Dour Borinage vs SV Zulte Waregem Analysis →
22:00 Lokeren-Temse vs RFC Liege Analysis →