Nantes 1-0 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 15 Mar 2025

Nantes
1-0 HT 0-0
Lille
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Nantes vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
10%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.17
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
9%
7.69
X/2
17%
4.45
X/X
16%
4.37
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.65
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nantes v Lille — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 52%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -24%
1.27/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.15
-16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 85%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
19.1 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Nantes vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Lille
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 1.75
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
216 Passes 492
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.01.2025 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
12.05.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-2 HT 0-2 Lille Lille FR1
20.08.2023 Lille Lille 2-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
27.05.2023 Lille Lille 2-1 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
12.08.2022 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 1-0 Lille Lille FR1
19.03.2022 Nantes Nantes 0-1 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1

Nantes 1-0 Lille — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
1-0
AWAY Lille
1.21 xG 1.58
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
238 Passes 598
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
20 Box Touches 44
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nantes vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantes edged past Lille 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lille at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nantes had 32% of the ball to Lille's 68%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.21 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nantes and 1.50 for Lille.

What was the final score of Nantes vs Lille?

Nantes 1-0 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantes vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nantes 29%, draw 29%, Lille 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lille) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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