Stade Lavallois 3-0 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
6.7
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
9%
15.0
X/1
7%
8.02
X/2
15%
4.37
X/X
13%
4.09
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.62
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.21/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.09
+16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.3 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paris FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 1.15
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
286 Passes 500
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
23.01.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
26.09.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
11.03.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
22.10.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
13.05.2016 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 3-1 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
3-0
AWAY Paris FC
1.70 xG 1.19
30% Ball Possession 70%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
177 Passes 538
69% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 46
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois ran out comfortable winners over Paris FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Stade Lavallois found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 30% of the ball to Paris FC's 70%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.70 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stade Lavallois and 0.83 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Paris FC?

Stade Lavallois 3-0 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 31%, draw 28%, Paris FC 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Paris FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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