Saburtalo 1-1 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.14/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.63
+36% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 0-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
14.09.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
19.05.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-3 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
02.04.2024 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
06.12.2023 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GURCK
08.10.2023 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo and Dinamo Batumi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Saburtalo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Saburtalo had 53% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 47%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Saburtalo and 0.33 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi?

Saburtalo 1-1 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 41%, draw 27%, Dinamo Batumi 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Saburtalo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
15 Mar 2025
17:00 Telavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis →
18:00 Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila Gori Analysis →