Sigma Olomouc 2-2 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 28% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
1.14/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.69
-10% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
24.6 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Karvina
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
224 Passes 260
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
05.04.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-2 HT 1-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
02.11.2024 Karvina Karvina 2-1 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
25.11.2023 Karvina Karvina 0-2 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
29.07.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-1 HT 2-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
13.03.2022 Karvina Karvina 1-2 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
2-2
AWAY Karvina
3.12 xG 0.86
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
389 Passes 181
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
36 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc and Karvina shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sigma Olomouc at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 63% of the ball to Karvina's 37%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 3.12 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sigma Olomouc had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.17 for Karvina.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Karvina?

Sigma Olomouc 2-2 Karvina in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 50%, draw 26%, Karvina 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sigma Olomouc), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
15 Mar 2026
15:00 Slovan Liberec vs Teplice Analysis →
17:30 Viktoria Plzen vs Bohemians 1905 Analysis →
20:30 Sparta Prag vs Slovacko Analysis →