Sparta Prag 5-2 Slovacko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.99
No
44%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.1 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
67%
+0.5pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.4pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+1.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
46%
+9.9pp
44%
BTTS No
54%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovacko EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
2.30/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.80
+28% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
37.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.8 Crosses 15.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Slovacko
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 1.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
408 Passes 175
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2025 Slovacko Slovacko 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
02.02.2025 Slovacko Slovacko 0-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
24.08.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-2 HT 1-2 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
05.05.2024 Slovacko Slovacko 2-4 HT 1-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
25.02.2024 Slovacko Slovacko 1-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
17.09.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 5-0 HT 3-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
5-2
AWAY Slovacko
3.50 xG 1.65
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
428 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Slovacko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag cruised past Slovacko 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 58% of the ball to Slovacko's 42%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 3.50 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.83 for Slovacko.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Slovacko?

Sparta Prag 5-2 Slovacko in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Slovacko?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 67%, draw 18%, Slovacko 15%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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