Sporting Gijon 4-1 CD Castellon — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Spain - LaLiga 2, 15 Mar 2026

Sporting Gijon WDDDL→
4 - 1 HT 1 - 1
CD Castellon WWDLL→
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Spain - LaLiga 2 – 2025/2026

Sporting Gijon vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 21:58
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
2.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.94
Over
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.49
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.21
6+
6%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.79
1/2
3%
24.35
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
10%
6.9
X/2
16%
5.04
X/X
16%
4.77
2/1
2%
31.5
2/2
27%
2.94
2/X
5%
12.35
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Sporting Gijon v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sporting Gijon The Market 33%
Signal
AWAY CD Castellon The Market 48%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.98
1.20 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
Average Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 82%
15 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3

Sporting Gijon vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
2W-0D-4L
AWAY CD Castellon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.05 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
341 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.10.2025 CD Castellon CD Castellon 3-1 HT 2-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
05.05.2025 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-3 HT 2-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
14.10.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
24.01.2021 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
02.11.2020 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
08.06.2008 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2

Sporting Gijon 4-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
4 - 1
AWAY CD Castellon
2.27 xG 2.41
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
237 Passes 391
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Sporting Gijon vs CD Castellon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sporting Gijon overpowered CD Castellon 4-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, CD Castellon saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 2.27 to 2.41.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Castellon led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Sporting Gijon against 1.83 for CD Castellon.

Sporting Gijon vs CD Castellon Result & Final Score

Sporting Gijon 4 - 1 CD Castellon in the Spain - LaLiga 2 on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sporting Gijon vs CD Castellon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 27%, draw 27%, CD Castellon 46%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Castellon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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