Quilmes 3-0 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
24%
2.83
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
32%
-8.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.7pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
1.14/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.24
+3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
313 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Patronato
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
303 Passes 138
73% Pass Accuracy 54%
34 Box Touches 8
55 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
14.09.2025 Patronato Patronato 1-0 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
11.05.2025 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
09.09.2024 Patronato Patronato 1-1 HT 1-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
23.04.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 2-2 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
06.06.2017 Quilmes Quilmes 0-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJ
23.02.2016 Quilmes Quilmes 2-2 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes swept aside Patronato 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Quilmes as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Patronato led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Quilmes and 1.33 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Patronato?

Quilmes 3-0 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 47%, draw 24%, Patronato 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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