Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lommel United v Boussu Dour Borinage — Team-Based Signals
Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Boussu Dour Borinage
BEL2
Lommel United 3-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Actual Match Statistics
Lommel United beat Boussu Dour Borinage 3-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lommel United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lommel United had 57% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 43%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.73 to 0.86.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lommel United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Lommel United and 0.80 for Boussu Dour Borinage.
What was the final score of Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage?
Lommel United 3-1 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Boussu Dour Borinage?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 54%, draw 22%, Boussu Dour Borinage 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.