Esbjerg 2-2 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 15 Mar 2026

Esbjerg
2-2 HT 2-0
Hillerod
📅15/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2025/2026

Esbjerg vs Hillerod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.12
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.04
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
6.36
X/X
10%
4.8
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
13%
4.45
2/X
7%
13.4
Value flag · X/2 at 6.36 — our 18% vs market 11.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esbjerg v Hillerod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.57/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.14
+2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.3 Crosses 15.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Esbjerg vs Hillerod Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hillerod
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.51 xG 2.31
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
336 Passes 508
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.09.2025 Hillerod Hillerod 3-0 HT 2-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
24.11.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 1-2 HT 0-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
29.09.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-1 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1

Esbjerg 2-2 Hillerod — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
2-2
AWAY Hillerod
2.23 xG 3.84
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
181 Passes 417
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 34
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg and Hillerod couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Esbjerg had 36% of the ball to Hillerod's 64%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 2.23 to 3.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esbjerg and 1.67 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Hillerod?

Esbjerg 2-2 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 37%, draw 25%, Hillerod 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hillerod), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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