Hong Kong FC 0-4 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
12.23
Draw
14%
7.78
Away
79%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
2%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
50%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
6%
Home Win
5%
+1.4pp
14%
Draw
9%
+4.9pp
79%
Away Win
85%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 91%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
0.59/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.14/0.75
-22% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -4%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
216 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Lee Man
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 7-1 HT 2-1 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
22.02.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 3-0 HT 0-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
22.09.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 3-1 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
20.04.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 2-0 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
31.03.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
11.02.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 2-1 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
0-4
AWAY Lee Man
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man ran out comfortable winners over Hong Kong FC 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 46% of the ball to Lee Man's 54%, shots finished 11-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hong Kong FC and 3.50 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man?

Hong Kong FC 0-4 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 6%, draw 14%, Lee Man 79%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
15 Mar 2026
10:00 Wofoo Tai Po vs Southern District RSA Analysis →