Boyaca Chico 2-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
56%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 59%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
0.93/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.59
-8% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.0 Crosses 17.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Millonarios
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 0.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
312 Passes 341
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 4-2 HT 1-2 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
29.04.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
26.10.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
12.06.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
28.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
14.05.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
2-1
AWAY Millonarios
1.41 xG 1.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
207 Passes 240
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 22
7 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boyaca Chico squeezed past Millonarios 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

This one beat our numbers. Millonarios carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 47% of the ball to Millonarios's 53%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.41 to 1.89 — on chances, Millonarios could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boyaca Chico and 1.83 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Millonarios?

Boyaca Chico 2-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 20%, draw 24%, Millonarios 56%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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