Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Santa Fe 1-1 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe and Alianza Petrolera shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Santa Fe at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Santa Fe had 55% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 45%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.65 to 0.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Santa Fe and 1.33 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera?
Santa Fe 1-1 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 61%, draw 21%, Alianza Petrolera 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.