Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 29 Aug 2025

Alianza Petrolera
1-1 HT 0-1
Santa Fe
📅29/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2025

Alianza Petrolera vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.54
Over 2.5
32%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza Petrolera v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 46%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
2.46/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.89/0.89
+138% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Alianza Petrolera vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.49 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
240 Passes 295
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2025 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 6-1 HT 3-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
27.09.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
04.03.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
18.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
10.04.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-1 HT 3-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
11.10.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 4-0 HT 2-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera and Santa Fe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.83 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Santa Fe?

Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Cup on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 33%, draw 29%, Santa Fe 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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