Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+6.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
35%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.12/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.74
+1% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.97 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
254 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2025 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
15.10.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
31.03.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
30.08.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
14.03.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
23.08.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-0 HT 2-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas edged past Deportivo Pasto 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Once Caldas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.50 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?

Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Cup on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 39%, draw 33%, Once Caldas 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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