Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
3-1
HT 3-0
Santa Fe
KOL
Santa Fe ran out comfortable winners over Alianza Petrolera 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Fe and 1.83 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera?
Santa Fe 4-1 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Cup on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 60%, draw 23%, Alianza Petrolera 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.