Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Santa Fe 1-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Alianza Petrolera 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Santa Fe had 43% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 57%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.51 to 0.22.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Fe and 1.50 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera?
Santa Fe 1-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 47%, draw 29%, Alianza Petrolera 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.