Aguilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aguilas Doradas v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Aguilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
0-4
HT 0-2
Deportes Tolima
KOL
4-2
HT 3-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Aguilas Doradas 1-2 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima edged past Aguilas Doradas 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Deportes Tolima made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 39% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 61%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.71 to 1.04.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.67 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?
Aguilas Doradas 1-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 36%, draw 33%, Deportes Tolima 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.