Deportivo Pasto 3-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.67/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.76
+21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +64%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
17.2 Crosses 15.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.76 xG 0.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
26.05.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
25.10.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOLK
18.10.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
24.08.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.02.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
22.09.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3-0
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.58 xG 0.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
154 Passes 328
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 10
7 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto swept aside Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Bucaramanga at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 37% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 63%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.58 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.17 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Deportivo Pasto 3-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 28%, draw 24%, Atletico Bucaramanga 49%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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