Independiente Medellin 3-0 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -31%
1.27/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.15
+11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
16.4 Crosses 14.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY America de Cali
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
316 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.06.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
01.06.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
26.05.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
15.10.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
01.04.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-4 HT 1-3 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 2-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
3-0
AWAY America de Cali
1.39 xG 0.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
442 Passes 361
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin swept aside America de Cali 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 53% of the ball to America de Cali's 47%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.39 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.67 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?

Independiente Medellin 3-0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 53%, draw 25%, America de Cali 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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