Deportivo Cali 1-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Nov 2025

📅14/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.56
Over 2.5
32%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.4pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
60%
+8.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
40%
-8.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.2pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.06/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.91
-3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
16.6 Crosses 16.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Once Caldas
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 1.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
318 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
15.09.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
02.03.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
30.07.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
05.02.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
18.10.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
1-1
AWAY Once Caldas
1.19 xG 0.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
341 Passes 389
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali and Once Caldas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 46% of the ball to Once Caldas's 54%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.19 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.83 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Once Caldas?

Deportivo Cali 1-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 14/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 38%, draw 34%, Once Caldas 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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