Super Nova 1-1 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 43%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.22/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.16
+15% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
218 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
21.4 Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
0W-4D-2L
AWAY FS Jelgava
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
334 Passes 317
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
20.07.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
21.05.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
05.04.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
01.10.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
09.07.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-2 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
1-1
AWAY FS Jelgava
0.80 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
199 Passes 222
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Super Nova vs FS Jelgava
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Super Nova and FS Jelgava shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15 Mar 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Super Nova had 48% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 52%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.80 to 1.28.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava lead the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Super Nova and 1.17 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?

Super Nova 1-1 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated an FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 33%, draw 30%, FS Jelgava 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FS Jelgava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
15 Mar 2026
20:00 Ogre United vs FK Tukums 2000 Analysis →