Hegelmann II 0-3 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 69%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.44/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.27
+55% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
231 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Atmosfera
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-2 HT 1-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
16.03.2025 Hegelmann II 1-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
31.08.2024 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-1 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
0-3
AWAY Atmosfera
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atmosfera swept aside Hegelmann II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atmosfera as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 41% of the ball to Atmosfera's 59%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atmosfera led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hegelmann II and 1.67 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Atmosfera?

Hegelmann II 0-3 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 21%, draw 20%, Atmosfera 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atmosfera), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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